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PS3 Primed to Overtake 360 in 2 Years, says Analyst

The PS3 has definitely been on an upswing since last fall when the new, lower priced slim model was introduced. Sony Computer Entertainment executives have cited the launch of the slim model as a "turning point" for the business, and the recent data from research group Strategy Analytics shows that PS3's market share has been increasing at the expense of the Xbox 360.

While it's doubtful that anyone will be able to catch up with the ubiquitous Wii from Nintendo, Microsoft's lead with Xbox 360 over PS3 has recently narrowed to just 4.4 million units despite Microsoft getting off to a one-year head start. Will PS3 actually be able to pass Xbox 360 in the global sales race? The answer is yes, and it should happen in about 2 years, according to DFC Intelligence.

Speaking as part of an analyst roundtable regarding the chances of success for Project Natal, DFC's David Cole proclaimed, "Right now our forecasts are that the PlayStation 3 will have the momentum and is poised to overtake the Xbox 360 over the next two years. However, based on what we learn and see more specifically about Natal that could be subject to change.  I would just say right now we haven't seen anything yet that would make us change our mind."

Given the head start for Microsoft and the disastrous PS3 launch by Sony, it's amazing to think that Sony's managed to come as far back as they have. It will be interesting to see if Cole's forecast ultimately proves true.

Karl Sjostedt
4 months ago

According to a huge (20000+ respondents) survey that gameinformer did there were a significant number of people who bought a second xbox360 to replace a broken one. Over 6 million of the xbox360 units sold are replacements (as of a year ago, more by now). The PS3 installed user base has already surpassed that of the xbox360 so who cares about total sales of consoles that are loss-leaders when the number of users who can buy the games to make the console companies their money is already bigger on the PS3....

Tony Stevenson
4 months ago

Yeah right dude!!! For every game that is out on Both PS3 and the 360, Look at THOSE numbers.

The Xbox versions of the games almost ALWAYS outsell the PS3 by quite huge margins. The only exception I can think of is the latest Final Fantasy.

I own both myself, but the Xbox versions most often than not have the better quality.

Russell Carroll
4 months ago

The NPD numbers is what I think you are referring to Tony. Those numbers are only in the US. In Japan the PS3 has outsold the X360 by millions, and in Europe the PS3 is also ahead. The US is the only territory where the PS3 is running 3rd in, so the NPD numbers from the US aren't indicative of the worldwide market.

indysurfn
4 months ago

Man I would normally not get caught saying the phrase "who cares" but I'm tempted! I will not say it BUT, In two years we will be talking about the abilities of miithree!, and Nextbox, and PS4MORE, not if Sony can pass xbox360. More importantly developers will be deciding who has the cost edge, and new generation excitement that will translate into install base, and price per machine, in order to allocate MORE resources. I say more because they are already developing for the next machines without knowing the final specs, just like they did for this and the last generation of machines.

Karl the xbox360 has had a three year warranty so why would 6 million people not just use the warranty? My two friends that did have a problem used the warranty. One is a pip fitter making 40$ a hour the other is a software developer making over 75k a year, and even they make more than the average Joe. Game informer is full of Microsoft, and Sony fanboys that like to take surveys! I remember the HUGH percent in a Game informer survey that ask xbox users if they where going to bye Halo3. It said only a small percent of people where planning to purchase it! Turned out 40% did! Halo3 proceeded to break the sales record. Fan boys vote in game trailer, and make things look bad, all kinds of review sites, if a fan boy has access they will put there two cents in.

In EUROPE the PS3 is not ahead, in SONY's version of EUROPE PS3 is ahead! RUSSIA AND AFRICA, AND south America are not EUROPE Sony throws country's (and CONTENANTS) into there EUROPE numbers which is dis honest. And when asked why Sony give the reason as: they have always done it that way. Sony has a few games that are on both platforms that look better, example Oblivion, (it had a extra 14 months development), and a few more. But I would say 19 out of 20 look better on xbox360 and have twice the frame rate than on the PS3. But it still looks good on the PS3 so play up.

Christopher Waling
4 months ago

PS3 and 360 will both be dead in 2 years, *cough* new platform in the works and its not PS4, media lying their asses off as usual making this out to be bigger than it really is

nalisa80
3 months ago

PS3 is a boon for all those who loves playing games. This is very famous among teens.
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